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Dismissing its importance when it has taken up a huge chunk of the series - books and show - goes to show how much at odds Dany and the North are and how problematic this situation is. If Jon is Ned 2. well Ned lied half his life to keep Jon alive at the cost of his wife and Jon having a very strained relationship and Jon developing major issues, was plotting to overthrow the Lannisters before LF betrayed him and also he chose to declare himself a traitor for Sansa’s survival instead of honour (when he didn’t have any other choice) so ruling it out using this argument is very weak. Undercover Jon, Sacrificial Jon, Political Jon theories are all different theories that are merely trying to find an explanation for why Jon would give up the North while he had a choice and wasn’t pressurized. They all disagree on the extent to which Jon could’ve planned his actions but they agree on one thing: Jon wouldn’t just give up the North without a plan. While there is evidence in the books that book! on would be far more calculative and manipulative, the show has watered down every character so even Jon has been separated from that expectation. But what if it was a milder, not-so-cunning but still politically-aware approach compared to Book! on’s cunningness. But if GRRM wrote it in the outline he gave them, they have to include it - no matter how badly executed. But I am yet to hear a theory that explains it without dismissing the importance of Northern independence as a principle and the point of choice in this situation.

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